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<Research>SPDB Int'l Expects ~$1.6T Worth of HK Shrs to Be Unlocked This Yr w/ Peak in Sep Involving $530.9B
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In 2026, Hong Kong stocks will experience a wave of unlocking, with the annual peak in September, while the core sectors (information technology, consumer discretionary and healthcare) will have an unlock peak in March to April, SPDB International released a research report saying. To assess the potential selling pressure from this wave of unlocking and its impact on stock prices, the broker conducted a comprehensive scan of the unlocking scale and market impact from various dimensions such as the overall market, industry, market capitalization and individual stocks. SPDB International expected that, with the unchanged uptrend of Hong Kong equities and ample liquidity, the unlocking wave will not lead to a significant market correction, but individual stocks with high unlocking ratios may face share price pressure before and after unlocking. SPDB International estimated that, in 2026, approx. $1.6 trillion worth of shares in the Hong Kong stock market will be unlocked, with six months having a monthly unlocking scale exceeding $100 billion. September will be a critical point of pressure for the Hong Kong stock market, with a projected $530.89 billion (a total of 44.62 billion shares) of restricted shares to be unlocked, accounting for 32.6% of the annual total, equivalent to 31% of the total market capitalization of the relevant companies and 113% of the free float market capitalization. AASTOCKS Financial News Website: www.aastocks.com |
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