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<Research>Nomura Keeps Neutral on MEITUAN-W, Foresees Short-term Shr Price Struggle
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MEITUAN-W (03690.HK) has recently issued a profit warning, forecasting a shift from profit to a net loss of RMB23.3-24.3 billion for FY25, implying a net loss of around RMB15-16 billion for 4Q25, slightly worse than the market's expected loss of about RMB14.7 billion, according to a report from Nomura.

The primary reasons cited for this shift are intensified competition in the local life services sector and the company's investments in overseas markets.

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The report also highlighted that MEITUAN-W's stock price significantly underperformed the market over the past year with a cumulative decline of 51.7%, compared to a rise of about 17.5% in the HSI during the same period.

Considering the strong competition faced by all core businesses, Nomura believes MEITUAN-W's stock price will struggle to rebound in the short term. It has given the company a Neutral rating and a target price of HKD107.
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